Key Features

1. Real-Time Sentiment Scoring

Polykoe continuously monitors conversations across prediction market platforms:

  • Multi-source Aggregation: Combines data from Polymarket comments, X/Twitter threads, and other social platforms

  • Outcome-specific Analysis: Calculates separate sentiment scores for each possible outcome in a market

  • Temporal Tracking: Shows how sentiment evolves over hours, days, and weeks

  • Volume Weighting: Considers both intensity and volume of discussions

How it works: Natural language processing algorithms analyze text sentiment, account credibility, engagement metrics, and historical accuracy to produce weighted sentiment scores ranging from 0-100 for each outcome.

2. Divergence Signal System

The Divergence Signal is Polykoe's core trading intelligence feature:

Strong Buy Signal (Bullish Divergence)

  • High sentiment score (70-100)

  • Low current price (below 30%)

  • Interpretation: Public conviction is building but not yet reflected in price

  • Action: Consider accumulating position before sentiment drives price higher

Strong Sell Signal (Bearish Divergence)

  • Low sentiment score (0-30)

  • High current price (above 70%)

  • Interpretation: Price has overshot underlying conviction

  • Action: Consider reducing exposure or taking contrarian position

Neutral Signal

  • Sentiment and price are aligned

  • No significant divergence detected

  • Interpretation: Market is efficiently priced based on current conviction

  • Action: Wait for better entry opportunities or trade other markets

3. Conviction Momentum Tracking

Understanding the direction and velocity of sentiment change is crucial:

  • Trend Analysis: Identifies whether sentiment is strengthening or weakening

  • Acceleration Metrics: Measures how quickly opinion is shifting

  • Volatility Indicators: Flags markets with rapidly changing sentiment

  • Confidence Levels: Shows statistical certainty of sentiment measurements

4. Multi-Platform Intelligence

Polykoe doesn't rely on a single data source:

Polymarket Comments

  • Direct market participant discussions

  • High-conviction signals from users with capital at risk

  • Technical analysis and fundamental reasoning

X/Twitter Conversations

  • Broader public opinion and trending topics

  • Influencer sentiment and viral narratives

  • Breaking news and event-driven reactions

Cross-Platform Validation

  • Correlates signals across platforms for confirmation

  • Identifies platform-specific biases

  • Weights sources by historical predictive accuracy

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